Independent HR probabilities, matchup intelligence, market comparison, Diamond Rating™ and Rough Value™ in one clean daily board.
MISPLACED is designed to reduce the noise between a model probability and a betting decision. The dashboard brings the key information into one place.
Sample presentation for the public site. Live values inside MISPLACED change with the slate and market.
The model is only useful when the context around it is clear. MISPLACED keeps the core decision layers visible instead of burying them.
A fast visual layer for identifying stronger overall model opportunities without losing the underlying probability and matchup context.
A market-oriented view that helps surface when the model and the available price are telling different stories.
See how a home-run opportunity carries across the remaining games in a series instead of treating every game as an isolated event.
Convert the sportsbook price into implied probability, compare it with the independent model, and make the disagreement visible.
MISPLACED is built around a simple idea: a market price is more useful when you can compare it with an independent probability and the context behind it.
The model evaluates the player, matchup and game environment to create an independent probability.
The listed odds are translated into implied probability so the comparison is apples-to-apples.
MISPLACED highlights where the model and market disagree, then layers in Diamond Rating™, Rough Value™ and matchup context.
Probabilities describe uncertainty. Odds move. Players sit. Weather changes. MISPLACED is built to make the information clearer — not to pretend outcomes are certain.
MISPLACED is using the remainder of the MLB season as a public beta so we can test the product live, measure model performance, improve the experience and gather real user feedback before paid subscriptions begin with football.
Daily MLB board, player analysis, Series Opportunities, Diamond Rating™, Rough Value™, model performance and the current MISPLACED MLB tools.
Football pricing will be announced before paid subscriptions begin.
MISPLACED is a sports analytics platform that compares independent model probabilities with market-implied probabilities and adds matchup and opportunity context.
No. Every sports outcome is uncertain. MISPLACED provides probabilities, context and analytical tools; it does not guarantee outcomes.
They are MISPLACED decision layers designed to make model quality and model-versus-market opportunity easier to interpret inside the platform.
The current product is built around MLB player and home-run analytics, including game-level and Series Opportunity views.
